I guess I would have been fired in the actual newspaper business. I had just about finished my picks and everything got crazy on Friday night and the fam had to head to B'ham for a soccer doubleheader on Saturday and I FORGOT to publish this post... So for posterity here were my picks on the games played yesterday. All I can do is promise that these were the picks I made before they were played and were any of these really hard picks? Last week I went 3-1 in games against BCS competition and am now at 24-8 overall.
Auburn at LSU
As Jay at Track'em points out there has not been much buildup to this year's game. As he says both fanbases are a bit down and not too confident in their teams.Where do you start with this one? I guess we can start with the offenses. For my take on Auburn's offense see the last two previous posts. Basically, Chris Todd has to hit a few passes down the field to open up things for Auburn. Otherwise it will be another long night. Auburn's success on offense as it does with most spread teams completely depends on Chris Todd making plays. It is as simple as that.
Obviously the OL has to play half decent and the receivers have to catch but otherwise it is on Todd. One thing Auburn can count on is the SEC's leading rusher Ben Tate will run hard. I have also done quite a bit on LSU's offense in my last two posts. They basically have to lessen QB Jordan Jefferson's role and get their big strong running backs into the game. LSU's defense which was surprisingly bad at the first of the season has been better the last two weeks again Georgia and Florida. It is obviously taking some time for LSU to adjust to defensive coordinator John Chavis' approach. Fortunately for them and him Arkansas and Kentucky have given them the blueprint on how to defend Auburn and LSU has better talent to execute that plan.
Meanwhile Auburn kicked another player, backup CB Harry Adams, off the team leaving Auburn's secondary looking like their linebacker corps.The Auburn defense doesn't have a whole lot of great players, no depth and have not played well. Tommy Tuberville and his "legendary laziness" is too blame for the first two things while Gene Chizik and Ted Roof are to blame for the last one. So it is the underperforming LSU offense vs. the underperforming Auburn defense.
The Auburn nation has really tried to rally this week. However the facts are cold and hard. I really can't find any reasons to pick Auburn in this game. Here is what we are looking at:
1. The LSU offense has underperformed however they have a lot of goodplayers and can breakout. The same cannot be said of the Auburn defense.
2. The Auburn offense should be better than last week but LSU has that blueprint from the last two weeks and again a lot of good players.
3. LSU has had a week off to rest and get ready for this game.
4. LSU is at home at night. While that whole deal is much overrated ithas been true more times than not against Auburn. Unfortunately it looks like the angst on the plains will increase afterthis one...
LSU OVER AUBURN
Elsewhere...
BAMA OVER TENNESSEE
FLORIDA OVER MISS ST
OLE MISS OVER ARKANSAS
SOUTH CAROLINA OVER VANDY
KENTUCKY OVER LA MONROE
GEORGIA IS OPEN.
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